Saturday, August 14, 2010

Some Thoughts on Fantasy Football: Three I like, Three I don't: QB

It's been a while since the last post here (and my brother needs to get off his lazy butt and contribute a bit, before this turns into "Stranded Brother who Likes Sports") and my main league's fantasy football draft is coming up. So even though it's probably bad strategy to give away some players I'll probably reach on and some I won't, I'm going to do it anyway. I'm just going to share 3 players at each position I like relative to where they're being picked in drafts, and 3 I don't. I'm only going to talk about the three main positions, those being Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver, and I'm going to do this in three separate blog posts.

1. Joe Flacco - Who doesn't like this guy? He's finally got more than one decent receiver around him (he's got Boldin, Mason, and Stallworth, if you consider the last one decent, which I do.), his running game is excellent at both running and catching passes, and his O-Line is among the best in the league. Flacco is being drafted as a great backup (kind of like Matt Schaub last year), when he will perform like a starter.
2. Matthew Stafford - Yeah, he plays on the Lions, and yeah, he's probably gonna get sacked quite a bit. But his offense is much better this season compared to last, and he's (hopefully) learned his system. Calvin is Calvin, Burleson will ideally take some of the pressure of Calvin, and there's also 2 great pass catching Tight Ends in Brandon Pettigrew and Tony Scheffler. His teammates love him for his grit in the Detroit - Cleveland Shootout, and assuming he holds up, he should be solid.
3. Matt Moore - Yeah, I know the Panthers are going to run a lot, and there's also that Jimmy Clausen guy on that team, but when you're a coach on a contract year, you need wins. Moore went 4-1 as a starter last year, beating teams such as the Giants and Vikings. He takes great care of the Football, and won't lose a game. I had him at the end of last year, and he was fantastic, a big reason why I finished 2nd (I play in a 2QB league, my other starter was Schaub). He's better for his team, and his coach knows it.

1. Peyton Manning - How in God's name do I justify not liking Peyton Manning? Simple. Assuming his team is performing Peyton-esque down the stretch, he's sitting in your fantasy playoff weeks. In addition, there's QBs going after him with slightly worse stats such as Brady, Romo, and Schaub. Not worth reaching for when he'll ditch you when you need him most.
2. Kevin Kolb - I don't draft a guy as if he's a proven starter when he's not. There's plenty of upside, but I'm not comfortable drafting him as a starter because he hasn't proven himself yet. People like to point to last year's 2 starts, when the Saints Defense owned him, and he owned the Chief's Defense. Owning the Chiefs defense is nothing special, and does not a guaranteed fantasy starter make
3. Jay Cutler - No, this isn't just my inner Packers Fan speaking. I just don't think Mike Martz can make a difference at all with this guy. He's just not careful enough with the ball. In a Martz offense, which specializes in putting huge numbers with lots of Interceptions and lots of Sacks, Cutler could very easily be sacked 40 times, and throw 35 picks. Plus, he doesn't have anyone great to throw to. Johnny Knox is fast, and Devin Aromashodu can catch. Not exactly Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce there.

Writing a post like this makes me feel a bit sorry for the guys who do this on ESPN regularly. It's much tougher than it sounds, at least if you want to give any decent reasoning behind it.

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